– Finance Minister Makis Keravnos and Cyprus Central Bank Governor Constantinos Herodotou discussed a potential decrease in interest rates by the European Central Bank during 2024.
– They agreed that interest rates are likely to fall before the end of the year, barring unforeseen events.
– Herodotou mentioned the positive trajectory of the Cypriot economy, which was echoed by Keravnos.
– Inflation in Cyprus was at 8.1% in 2022, peaking at 10.6% in July, then falling to 1.9% in December 2023, with a minimal increase expected in January due to the base effect.
– The positive progress in inflation was attributed to monetary policy and targeted support measures.
– Increased uncertainty exists due to geopolitical developments, including attacks on the Suez Canal and the situation in the Middle East.
– Herodotou indicated that interest rate cuts are expected within 2024, but cautioned against reducing them too soon to avoid a resurgence of inflation.
– The majority of Cypriot consumer products are imported from European countries, but the economy is affected by issues such as cruise ship tourism due to regional instability.
– There has been a decrease in the prices of basic products, including fuel, in Cyprus.
– Despite interest rate hikes, a surge in non-performing loans (NPLs) has not occurred, partly due to measures ensuring banks consider borrowers’ repayment capacity and increased savings.
– A new framework for NPLs has seen a positive response from borrowers and includes a stable foreclosure framework with a safety net.
– Banks and credit acquisition companies have restructured £2.4 billion worth of loans in 2023.
– The CBC, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, is working on a plan to help smaller banks reduce their NPL ratios, which is currently in its second phase.