Oil and gas will be around , ‘for quite some time’

Oil and gas will be around , ‘for quite some time’

The OPEC+ group of oil producers has extended its production cuts totaling 3.66 mln bpd until 2025, maintaining a controlled supply while taking advantage of the current price of the benchmark Brent crude at over $85/barrel. OPEC forecasts that cumulative oil-related investment requirements from now until 2045 will amount to about $14 trln, or around … Read more

Saudi Arabia sets up new Aramco share sale that could raise $13.1 billion

Saudi Arabia sets up new Aramco share sale that could raise $13.1 billion

Saudi Arabia’s government filed papers to sell a new stake in state oil giant Aramco that could raise as much as .1 billion.

Trump’s new ‘deal’ could save Big Oil $110 billion in taxes

Trump's new ‘deal’ could save Big Oil $110 billion in taxes

Donald Trump allegedly offered Big Oil executives 0 billion in tax breaks if they donated billion to his campaign. Congressional Democrats are investigating this potential quid pro quo deal. Joe Biden plans to eliminate these tax breaks for the oil and gas industry if elected. The fossil fuel industry is lobbying to maintain these tax breaks, which are set to expire next year. Some attendees at Trump’s fundraising dinner at Mar-a-Lago included executives of smaller oil companies focused on fracking and gas exporting. The event was also attended by individuals with controversial backgrounds in the oil and gas industry.

Chevron prepares for North Sea exit after more than 55 years

Chevron prepares for North Sea exit after more than 55 years

Chevron is set to launch the sale of its remaining UK North Sea oil and gas assets, marking its exit from the basin after more than 55 years.

$100 million-plus tax hike on oil company Hilcorp added to carbon storage bill

$100 million-plus tax hike on oil company Hilcorp added to carbon storage bill

Hilcorp would pay over 0 million more in state taxes per year under a provision added by Alaska lawmakers to a carbon sequestration bill.

Oil prices to keep on rising

Oil prices to keep on rising

– The oil price is now over /barrel due to tight supply, increasing demand, Middle East conflict, and Houthi attacks on vessels in the Red Sea, with expectations of further increases.
– The International Energy Agency (IEA) now predicts a global oil supply deficit throughout 2024, reversing its earlier forecast of a surplus.
– The IEA and OPEC agree on supply deficits due to OPEC+ cuts and rising global demand.
– The IEA forecasts a crude consumption increase of 1.3 million barrels per day (b/d) this year, while OPEC maintains its growth estimate at 2.25 million b/d for 2024.
– The US is producing more crude oil than any other country, averaging 12.9 million b/d in 2023, with Saudi Arabia and Russia close to 10 million b/d.
– Oil and gas executives expect a slower transition to net-zero due to geopolitical turmoil, macroeconomic conditions, and AI.
– Shell aims to reduce its net carbon intensity by 15%-20% by 2030, adjusting from its previous goal of 20%.
– Adnoc and BP suspended their billion bid for a stake in Israel’s NewMed Energy due to the conflict in Gaza but remain interested.
– Adnoc and BP announced a new joint venture centered on Egypt on 14 February.
– European refineries may have a profitable future due to elevated margins for refined oil products like diesel and gasoline, amidst war in Ukraine and Red Sea tensions.
– On 13 March, Ukraine conducted drone strikes on Russian refineries, reducing refining capacity by 370,500 b/d.
– Falling refining capacity has increased diesel premiums ahead of crude by about /b.
– By 2026, Europe will have reduced its crude distillation capacity by about 7% compared to 2020, becoming more reliant on imports of refined products and more vulnerable to supply shocks.
– The IEA and OPEC continue to have contrasting biases in oil market forecasts.
– CERAWeek in Houston saw top oil executives and ministers discuss the energy sector, with less pressure for a large-scale move to clean fuels.
– ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods emphasized the cost concerns in reducing emissions.
– Shell CEO Wael Sawan highlighted the critical role of LNG in Shell’s future.
– Saudi Aramco’s CEO criticized the energy transition approach, advocating for efficient hydrocarbon use.
– US Secretary of Energy Granholm emphasized meeting current energy needs while preparing for future realities.
– Wind turbine blades, which can’t be recycled, are accumulating in landfills.
– Methane emissions from the energy sector remained near a record high in 2023, according to the IEA.
– Germany has opened its first EUR 4 billion bidding round for ‘Carbon Contracts for Difference’ for industrial users to switch to green hydrogen or other low-emissions technology.
– Engie urges caution on the pace of hydrogen deployment in hard-to-abate industries.
– Global greenhouse gas emissions from food systems are growing, with livestock being the biggest driver.
– Jim Skea of the IPCC stated the world is in ‘unknown territory’ after heat records were broken, indicating more science is needed to understand extraordinary temperatures.

Big Oil offers record returns to lure investors back

Big Oil offers record returns to lure investors back

The top five Western oil and gas firms – BP, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Shell, and TotalEnergies – returned over 1 billion to shareholders in 2023 through dividends and share repurchases. This amount was slightly higher than the 0 billion returned in 2022. The group’s profits in 2022 reached a record 6 billion but fell to 3 billion in 2023. The energy sector’s weighting in the S&P 500 index decreased to 4.4% by the end of January, from around 14% in the last decade. Chevron and Exxon have focused on growing oil production, while BP, TotalEnergies, and Shell have invested more in low-carbon and renewables. Shell, Chevron, and TotalEnergies increased their dividends in the fourth quarter, and BP increased its buyback rate. Exxon returned the highest amount to shareholders in the sector, with billion in the previous year. Minimal spending increases are expected in the sector for 2024.