Economy

BOCH shares gain on dividend news

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BOCH shares gain on dividend news

– Bank of Cyprus Holdings announced a 25c dividend and a €25 million share buyback.
– Shares traded at recent highs on the London and Cyprus stock exchanges.
– The share price on the London Stock Exchange opened at 307p and reached an intra-day high of 316p, the best since its listing at 285p on January 31, 2017.
– The share price hit its lowest at 39.6p on September 30, 2020, and recovered above 300p at the end of 2023.
– The closing trading price on Thursday was 309p/369c.
– The 25c dividend is based on €487 million in after-tax profits for 2023, marking the second reward to shareholders in over a decade.
– The CEO aims to increase the profit distribution to 30-50% over the next few years.
– The European Central Bank approved the cash dividend and share buyback.
– The total distribution for FY2023 amounts to €137 million, with a cash dividend of €112 million and a share buyback of up to €25 million.
– Last year’s profit distribution was €22 million.
– The cash dividend will be paid on June 14 to stockholders registered as of April 26, with BOCH trading ex-dividend as of April 25.
– The bank is considering alternatives to issuing dividend cheques to speed up the process.
– The share buyback will occur on both the London Stock Exchange and the Cyprus Stock Exchange, with two brokerage firms handling the transaction.
– The bank plans to give bonuses to about 30% of its staff, who also received 11% pay increases last year.
– Bank of Cyprus Holdings Chairman stated the distribution reflects the Group’s strong financial performance in 2023 and its commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

Pound tumbles, gilts rally after BoE nods at rate cut ahead

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Pound tumbles, gilts rally after BoE nods at rate cut ahead

– The Bank of England (BoE) kept its benchmark interest rate at 5.25%, the highest since 2008.
– The decision followed data showing inflation fell to its lowest in almost two-and-a-half years but remained high.
– After the BoE’s decision, the pound fell by as much as 0.48% to a session low of .2726 and was down 0.3% against the euro at 85.63.
– Two-year gilt yields dropped by as much as 12.8 basis points to 4.103%.
– The BoE’s interest rate-setters voted 8-1 to keep borrowing costs at 5.25%.
– Britain’s headline inflation rate fell to 3.4% in February from 4.0% in January, the highest in the Group of Seven.
– Money markets were pricing a 75% chance of a BoE rate cut in June after the decision.
– The Swiss National Bank delivered a surprise quarter-point rate cut, the first major central bank to dial back tighter monetary policy aimed at tackling inflation.
– The Bank of Japan raised rates for the first time in 17 years, and the Federal Reserve indicated it might cut rates three times this year.
– A survey showed British businesses continued to recover from recession, with inflationary pressures persisting.

Cyprus banks to maintain stability, but lower profits, says Moody, ’s

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Cyprus banks to maintain stability, but lower profits, says Moody, ’s

– Risks associated with loans for Cypriot banks are expected to decrease due to economic growth, declining inflation, and unemployment rates.
– Moody’s predicts a decline in bank profits from recent highs.
– A gradual decrease in net interest margins is anticipated due to rising deposit costs and falling interest rates, influenced by competition and high levels of private sector debt.
– Stricter loan criteria and loan restructuring efforts are improving loan quality and reducing problematic loans.
– Asset quality risks from foreclosed properties are diminishing, supported by a strong real estate market.
– The banking sector in Cyprus is characterized by a low loan-to-deposit ratio and ample liquidity reserves.
– Cyprus’ GDP is forecasted to grow by 2.8% in 2024 and 3.2% in 2025-27, outpacing the euro area by 0.8% in 2024.
– Economic growth is supported by diversification in the services sector and significant foreign direct investment projects.
– Moderate growth in the loan portfolio is expected due to the banking system’s saturation, high private sector debt, and elevated interest rates.
– Monetary policy is expected to remain restrictive, even with interest rate reductions by the European Central Bank.
– The NPE ratio is expected to decrease below 3% this year.
– The proportion of foreclosed assets relative to bank equity is decreasing, supported by the real estate market.
– Capital risks are declining, with banks completing risk release and balance sheet restructuring.
– The Common Equity Tier 1 ratio for assessed banks increased to 18.8% at the end of 2023.
– Moody’s assessment focuses on Cyprus’ two largest domestic banks, Bank of Cyprus and Hellenic Bank, which represent a significant portion of the banking system’s assets.
– The weighted average Baseline Credit Assessment of the two major banks is ba2, with a weighted average asset-based deposit rating of Baa3.

‘, A very big and increasing presence of Israeli businesses in Cyprus’

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‘, A very big and increasing presence of Israeli businesses in Cyprus’

The Israel Tax Authority (ITA) is investigating Israeli assets in Cyprus due to the increasing presence of Israeli businesses on the island. Cyprus’ finance ministry and accounting associations acknowledge this growth. Finance ministry spokesperson Michalis Papadopoulos stated that the ITA’s operation is a result of the increased presence of Israeli nationals in Cyprus but clarified that Cyprus is not directly involved in the operation. The head of the accountants’ association, Nikos Chimarides, mentioned the significant presence of Israeli businesses in sectors like fintech, investment, real estate, and foreign exchange trading in Cyprus and noted that these businesses do pay their taxes in Cyprus. However, he also highlighted the absence of a double tax treaty between Cyprus and Israel, which has been a longstanding issue. The ITA’s operation is part of a wider campaign against tax evasion and the black economy in Israel. The investigation involves analyzing travel patterns of businesspeople between Cyprus and Italy, examining offshore companies linked to Israelis, and leveraging information sharing agreements with several countries. It is estimated that between 10,000 to 20,000 Israelis reside in Cyprus.

Somali pirates’ return adds to crisis for global shipping companies

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Somali pirates’ return adds to crisis for global shipping companies

A speed boat carrying more than a dozen Somali pirates attacked a Bangladeshi-owned bulk carrier in the western Indian Ocean, taking the captain and second officer hostage. The ship, named the Abdullah, later anchored off the coast of Somalia. This incident is part of a resurgence of piracy in the region, with more than 20 attempted hijackings since November. The increase in piracy has led to higher costs for shipping companies due to the need for armed security guards, insurance coverage, and the potential for ransom payments. The Indian Navy recently intercepted and freed another hijacked ship, the Ruen, capturing 35 pirates and rescuing 17 hostages without injuries. The resurgence of piracy is attributed to a reduction in international naval operations off the coast of Somalia and the distraction provided by Houthi militia strikes in nearby waters. Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud emphasized the importance of stopping piracy early to prevent it from escalating. The global economy suffered approximately billion in costs due to Somali pirate activities at their peak in 2011. The current rate of attacks is significantly less, but the threat persists, especially with the end of the monsoon season. Insurers have extended the area in which additional war risk premiums are imposed, and the demand for private armed guards has increased, driving up prices. No ransom payments have been reported for the recent hijackings, but negotiations have taken place. International efforts to combat piracy have been hampered by reduced naval patrols and the lapse of a U.N. resolution authorizing foreign vessels to patrol in Somali waters. Somali President Mohamud highlighted the need to bolster Somalia’s law enforcement capacity at sea and on land to contain the piracy threat.

Shortage of professional bus drivers impacting tourism

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Shortage of professional bus drivers impacting tourism

The Small Tourist Bus Association, under KEVE, is focusing on improving the quality of services in the tourism and public transportation sectors. They are facing a significant issue due to a shortage of professional bus drivers and are urging the government and Parliament to address this problem to ensure smooth operation in the transportation sector. The Association has also highlighted the issue of taxis and small tourist buses from occupied areas operating in the free areas for two decades, leading to unfair competition. This practice affects the Association’s members and the tourism industry, prompting a call to the government to implement mechanisms to prevent unfair competition.

Cyprus hoteliers concerned as Israel tourism market dips

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Cyprus hoteliers concerned as Israel tourism market dips

– Tourism in Paphos has not yet been significantly affected by the conflict in Israel, but there is concern about potential impacts in 2024.
– The tourism industry in Paphos has recovered following the pandemic.
– Israelis are canceling planned holidays and weddings in Cyprus due to the military operations that began at the end of 2023.
– Leisure centres catering to domestic clients in Paphos have not seen a decrease in business, but those focusing on international tourism are experiencing a decline.
– Businesses affected include those in Kato Paphos, Coral Bay, and Polis Chrysochous.
– Israel is the second most important tourist market for Cyprus.
– The ongoing conflict in Israel is causing lost reservations and uncertainty in the tourism sector in Paphos.

India ‘screwed up’: How the U.S. lobbied New Delhi to reverse laptop rules

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India ‘screwed up’: How the U.S. lobbied New Delhi to reverse laptop rules

India reversed a laptop licensing policy after U.S. officials lobbied behind the scenes. The policy initially required companies like Apple, Dell, and HP to obtain licenses for all imported laptops, tablets, PCs, and servers, which raised concerns about potential sales slowdowns. However, India decided to only monitor imports and reassess the policy a year later. U.S. trade officials and government emails revealed concerns about India’s compliance with WTO obligations and the impact of sudden policy changes on the business climate. The U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai met with Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal to discuss the policy, and India later admitted the policy’s sudden rollout was a mistake. The USTR is tracking India’s scrutiny of imported devices to ensure compliance with WTO obligations. India stated the policy reversal was not due to U.S. pressure but a realization that local manufacturing of laptops and tablets was not significant at this stage.

Our View: Labour minister is biased against businesses

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Our View: Labour minister is biased against businesses

Yiannis Panayiotou is the Minister of Labour in the Christodoulides government, known for his strong support of union interests. Over the past year, he has implemented several measures favoring workers, including increasing the Cost of Living Adjustment (CoLA), raising the minimum wage and the minimum wage in the hotel industry, introducing telework legislation, stopping outdoor work during heatwaves, drafting a law to protect workers from standing too long, extending maternity leave to five-and-a-half months, and raising the income of practising lawyers and engineers by €100. Plans for the coming year include stronger regulation of work terms and conditions, more support for working parents, tackling illegal work, extending parental leave, increasing birth allowance, and enhancing workplace safety. Despite these efforts, there is a concern about addressing the labor shortage of about 150,000 workers, especially in the hotel industry. Panayiotou aims to clamp down on illegal employment by increasing inspections by 65% and raising fines, but there are doubts about his approach to the labor market’s needs and his perceived bias against business interests.

Easing UK inflation keeps BoE on track for rate cuts later in 2024

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Easing UK inflation keeps BoE on track for rate cuts later in 2024

British inflation slowed in February, with consumer prices rising by 3.4% in annual terms after a 4.0% increase in January. This was the weakest rate of inflation since September 2021. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, and tobacco prices, also slowed to 4.5% from 5.1% in January. Despite the moderation, Britain still has the highest rate of headline inflation among the Group of Seven advanced economies, with consumer prices having increased by more than 21% since the end of 2020. The Bank of England (BoE) has indicated that underlying inflation pressures remain too persistent for it to cut interest rates now, although it has signaled that lower borrowing costs are likely later this year. Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt mentioned that the fall in inflation could help the government with its goal of abolishing social security taxes, provided it does not lead to increased borrowing or cuts in funding for public services.