European banks set to return record sums to shareholders
European banks are projected to distribute a record 120 billion euros in dividends and share buybacks to investors in 2023, driven by profits from higher interest rates. Bank of Ireland and other major banks like BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, and Santander have announced increased payouts. UBS is restarting its buyback program, and Monte dei Paschi di Siena will pay its first dividend in 13 years. UniCredit plans to distribute all of its 2023 profits, totaling 8.6 billion euros, including 5.6 billion euros in buybacks, and aims to share 90% of its 2024 net profit. Dividend payouts for 2024 are expected to reach nearly 80 billion euros, with total capital returns to shareholders nearing 120 billion euros. Over the next 15 months, European banks are anticipated to pay out a total of 172 billion euros, about 17% of their market capitalisation. The profit increase is attributed to the gap between interest rates charged to borrowers and paid on deposits, boosting share prices. The top 50 European banks are expected to have a dividend yield of 7.3% in 2024. However, concerns about falling interest rates and a weaker economic outlook have some investors worried, with predictions of reduced bank capital returns starting from next year.