{"id":8208,"date":"2024-04-14T23:00:27","date_gmt":"2024-04-14T20:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ch.jfdi.cc\/?p=8208"},"modified":"2024-04-14T23:00:27","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T20:00:27","slug":"analysis-how-irans-attack-is-interpreted-and-why-there-is-optimism-for-a-de-escalation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ch.jfdi.cc\/?p=8208","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: how Iran\u2019s attack is interpreted and why there is optimism for a de-escalation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The world has been in suspense since Saturday night following Iran\u2019s attack on Israel.<br \/>\nIt is the largest attack Tehran has carried out in the region, following drone attacks in 2019 on Saudi oil refineries and in 2020 on Iraqi air bases hosting US troops in response to the assassination of Qassem Suleymani.<br \/>\nAn action, however, which Tehran had warned for days that it would come in retaliation after the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus, and <strong>which was largely expected <\/strong>by those concerned with regional events, while it is believed that its main purpose was <strong>to send messages both at home and abroad <\/strong>about the fact that Israel has crossed red lines.<br \/>\n<strong>Optimism for de-escalation<\/strong> \u2013 <strong>Carefully calibrated actions<\/strong><br \/>\nIran\u2019s decision to retaliate against Israel from its territory caused concern, although <strong>the attacks appeared to be carefully calibrated to avoid a full-scale war<\/strong>.<br \/>\nThe fact, however, that the action was <strong>proportionate, limited and for which there were clear warnings, coupled with the clear stance of the US<\/strong>, which has repeatedly warned that it would not<strong> consent to an offensive action by Israel against Iran<\/strong>, which would lead to a widening of the regional conflict, <strong>creates a cautious optimism for a relative de-escalation of the crisis<\/strong>.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>The drones that Iran chose to launch at Israel included slower-moving drones designed for tactical use,\u201d US officials told Foreign Policy \u2013 another indication that Tehran likely weakened its response to avoid further escalation<\/strong>.<br \/>\n<strong>Iran also wanted to inform about the attack on Israel much earlier, giving the Israelis and their allies enough time to prepare their air defenses<\/strong>, an action that several regional experts and officials<strong> have interpreted as a calculated attempt to reduce the risk of further escalation<\/strong>. After all, in the hours before the strikes, both Jordan and Israel closed their airspace while US tankers refueled US fighter jets.<br \/>\n<strong>\u201cIran\u2019s action was more symbolic\u201d<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>The statements of Kostas Yfantis, Professor of International Relations at Panteion University, to MEGA Greece,<\/strong> were indicative. He said that \u201cIran\u2019s attack was expected, the only thing we didn\u2019t know was when it would occur and how it would occur\u201d, explaining that <strong>\u201cIran felt obliged to react, to do something after the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus<\/strong>. It took several days before it decided to react and <strong>fortunately,<\/strong> the reaction was<strong> more symbolic than substantive<\/strong>. This does not mean that the region will calm down. I am cautiously optimistic that we will remain at this level.\u201d<br \/>\nAs far as <strong>Israel\u2019s reaction<\/strong> is concerned, it is <strong>not excluded, but what most international analysts expect is a targeted, \u201csurgical\u201d type of reaction, which will not lead to open war and a widening of the conflict<\/strong>.<br \/>\nThinking rationally, <strong>further escalation is also considered remote at present on the part of Iran,<\/strong> since it would have to suffer <strong>crushing blows and a massive response if it did so<\/strong>.<br \/>\nIn any case, we must always bear in mind that we are dealing with two regional powers, one <strong>(Iran) fighting for its survival<\/strong> and the <strong>other (Israel) facing a sense of being surrounded by many enemies in the region, <\/strong>which<strong> should keep our authorities and security forces<\/strong> on their toes.attack on Israel. Iran attack, retaliation, de-escalation<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Iran launched a significant attack on Israel, which was largely expected as retaliation for previous events. The attack was carefully calculated to avoid a full-scale war and there is cautious optimism for a de-escalation of the crisis. Iran&#8217;s action was more symbolic than substantive, and Israel is expected to react in a targeted manner to avoid further conflict. Further escalation by Iran is considered unlikely at present. Both Iran and Israel are regional powers with complex security concerns.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":8209,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3258,6356,6393,383,1234,460,384,1240,2577,5255,6431,4974,1232,6331,3343,6323,6144,747,187,146,6430,6385,299,3669,185,2788,5076,4833,3522,6349,4054,827,5524,2104,3269,1230,5979,114,380,293,18],"class_list":["post-8208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-other","tag-air","tag-airspace","tag-analysis","tag-attack","tag-attacks","tag-bases","tag-bombing","tag-clear","tag-concerns","tag-crisis","tag-de-escalation","tag-drone-attacks","tag-drones","tag-escalation","tag-events","tag-fighter-jets","tag-foreign-policy","tag-greece","tag-international","tag-iran","tag-iran-attack","tag-iran-attack-against-israel","tag-israel","tag-jordan","tag-main","tag-mind","tag-oil","tag-policy","tag-relations","tag-retaliation","tag-risk","tag-security","tag-security-concerns","tag-security-forces","tag-strikes","tag-survival","tag-tehran","tag-top-news","tag-us","tag-war","tag-world"],"acf":{"keyphrase":"","keywords":"","sourceimg":"","country-category":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Analysis: how Iran\u2019s attack is interpreted and why there is optimism for a de-escalation<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Iran launched a significant attack on Israel, which was largely expected as retaliation for previous events. The attack was carefully calculated to avoid a full-scale war and there is cautious optimism for a de-escalation of the crisis. Iran&#039;s action was more symbolic than substantive, and Israel is expected to react in a targeted manner to avoid further conflict. Further escalation by Iran is considered unlikely at present. Both Iran and Israel are regional powers with complex security concerns.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysis: how Iran\u2019s attack is interpreted and why there is optimism for a de-escalation\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Iran launched a significant attack on Israel, which was largely expected as retaliation for previous events. The attack was carefully calculated to avoid a full-scale war and there is cautious optimism for a de-escalation of the crisis. Iran&#039;s action was more symbolic than substantive, and Israel is expected to react in a targeted manner to avoid further conflict. Further escalation by Iran is considered unlikely at present. 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