{"id":2342,"date":"2024-01-24T13:01:29","date_gmt":"2024-01-24T11:01:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ch.jfdi.cc\/?p=2342"},"modified":"2024-01-24T13:01:29","modified_gmt":"2024-01-24T11:01:29","slug":"investors-eye-earnings-boj-considers-rate-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ch.jfdi.cc\/?p=2342","title":{"rendered":"Investors eye earnings, BoJ considers rate hike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.financialmirror.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/oanda-marketpulse-craig-bank-of-japan.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>By Craig Erlam\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Stock markets traded a little in the red on Tuesday, with investors eyeing earnings results \u2013 including Netflix \u2013 and the result from the Republican presidential primary.<\/p>\n<p>Equities traded at record highs again and now it\u2019s down to the numbers to justify them.<\/p>\n<p>The focus in the opening weeks of the year has been on economic figures, notably those that will influence when central banks can start cutting rates and how fast, and now corporate results are coming under the microscope.<\/p>\n<p>So far, investors seem pretty content.<\/p>\n<h4>BoJ signals a rate hike soon<\/h4>\n<p>The Bank of Japan opted to leave interest rates and its yield curve control policy unchanged, indicating a decision on negative rates may come at one of the upcoming meetings.<\/p>\n<p>It was always likely that no decision would be taken on Tuesday as the central bank awaits the outcome of the spring wage negotiations due to take place in the coming months. For this reason, March, even April, may also come too soon and the central bank did suggest that the first move won\u2019t necessarily come alongside new economic forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>Wage negotiations will ultimately be the driving force, as they will give the clearest indication of whether price pressures are filtering through to the economy in a sustainable way that will deliver 2% inflation over the medium term.<\/p>\n<p>After that, it becomes a question of to what extent that is occurring and how much action the BoJ will need to take in response. After decades of low to negative inflation, we probably shouldn\u2019t expect this to be a quick process.<\/p>\n<p>With the yen now rapidly falling again, does this open the door to further FX interventions from the Japanese Ministry of Finance or will it tolerate the moves on the basis that the wage negotiations may enable a more organic correction in the currency? That may well depend on just how much pain it must endure in the interim.<\/p>\n<h4>Choppy oil trading<\/h4>\n<p>Oil prices were relatively flat after trading lower earlier in the session.<\/p>\n<p>Crude remains in consolidation with the picture still quite unclear on the economy, interest rates, OPEC+, and the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p>We may continue to see choppy trading, as we have in recent weeks until we get more clarity.<\/p>\n<h4>Gold traders still bullish on rates<\/h4>\n<p>Gold continues to trade above $2,000 despite traders paring back expectations for interest rate cuts this year. We\u2019re still seeing bullish positioning from the markets, but we\u2019ve certainly seen it soften a little.<\/p>\n<p>A break of this key pyschological zone could suggest investors have become fearful about rates and how slowly they\u2019ll come back down.<\/p>\n<h4>Bitcoin dips below $40,000<\/h4>\n<p>Bitcoin traded around 2% lower on Tuesday, adding to losses at the start of the week and taking the price below $40,000.<\/p>\n<p>The move takes the decline since peaking shortly after the SEC approved spot bitcoin ETFs to more than 20% in what appears to be another case of the rumour being heavily bought and the fact sold.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s not particularly important in the longer term and we\u2019re used to this kind of volatility in the space. What matters now is what\u2019s coming next that could generate excitement around cryptos and deliver further gains.<\/p>\n<p>The halving event in a few months could be that, but it may take something more and skeptics could argue that\u2019s already been priced in at this stage.<\/p>\n<p>\u200b<\/p>\n<p>Craig Erlam is Senior Market Analyst, UK &amp; EMEA at OANDA<\/p>\n<p>Opinions are the author\u2019s, not necessarily that of OANDA Global Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. Losses can exceed investments.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has decided to keep interest rates and its yield curve control policy unchanged, indicating that a decision on negative rates may come in the future. The central bank is waiting for the outcome of spring wage negotiations to determine if price pressures are filtering through to the economy in a sustainable way. The BoJ also suggested that the first rate hike won&#8217;t necessarily come alongside new economic forecasts. The yen is rapidly falling, raising the question of whether the Japanese Ministry of Finance will intervene or tolerate the currency&#8217;s movements. Oil prices remain uncertain due to factors such as the economy, interest rates, OPEC+, and the Middle East. Gold continues to trade above ,000 despite traders reducing expectations for interest rate cuts. Bitcoin has experienced a decline, falling below ,000, but the focus is on what could generate excitement and further gains in the cryptocurrency market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2343,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[48,77,49,80,26,53,67,374,34,69,55,56,375,550,335,551,552,535,494,255,18],"class_list":["post-2342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cyprus","tag-bank-of-japan","tag-bitcoin","tag-crude-oil","tag-crypto","tag-economy","tag-gold","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rate","tag-markets","tag-middle-east","tag-oanda","tag-opec-plus","tag-rate-cut","tag-rate-hike","tag-space","tag-spot-etf","tag-stock-market","tag-stock-markets","tag-uk","tag-wall-street","tag-world"],"acf":{"keyphrase":"","keywords":"","sourceimg":"","country-category":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Investors eye 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