EURUSD recovers after release of US NFP

EURUSD recovers after release of US NFP

– The EUR/USD pair increased after US Nonfarm payrolls data showed a decrease in Average Hourly Earnings and an increase in the Unemployment Rate.
– The US economy added 275,000 jobs in February, more than the 200,000 expected.
– Average Hourly Earnings rose by 4.3% YoY and 0.1% MoM, both below the predicted 4.4% and 0.3%.
– The Unemployment Rate increased to 3.9%, higher than the expected 3.7%.
– This data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated.
– Francois Villeroy de Galua, Governor of the Bank of France and ECB Governing Council member, stated a rate cut in spring is “very likely.”
– Joachim Nagel, Bundesbank President, mentioned the increasing probability of an interest-rate cut before the summer break.
– ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated June as the next key date for reviewing policy on interest rates.
– The EUR/USD is in a short-term uptrend due to the anticipation that the US Fed might lower interest rates sooner than the ECB.
– Technical analysis suggests a tentative short-term uptrend for EUR/USD, with recent signs indicating a possible correction.

Strong batch of US data, ECB gives little away

Strong batch of US data, ECB gives little away

The US economy is performing well, with GDP data for the fourth quarter exceeding expectations. The European Central Bank (ECB) has left interest rates on hold at 4% and has not provided clear guidance on when rates will start falling. The euro has drifted lower after the ECB press conference and US data, but it has not broken out of its recent trading range.

Strong US surveys, cautious BoC, Eurozone struggles

Strong US surveys, cautious BoC, Eurozone struggles

The US economic data, including the services and manufacturing PMIs, exceeded expectations and indicated that the economy is in good shape. The Bank of Canada is cautious about rate cuts, while the eurozone’s data shows a weak economy that could lead to rate cuts by the ECB. Oil prices are consolidating, gold is holding above ,000, and bitcoin is testing a potential new area of resistance.